Shimla2 hours ago
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An interesting figure has emerged in the victory of Congress in Himachal elections. Congress may have won 40 seats here but their total votes are only 37,974 more than that of BJP. Not only this, the victory of CM Jairam Thakur alone is equal to the number of votes taken by the Congress from the BJP. Who defeated Chetram Thakur of INC by a huge margin of 37,007 votes.
It is clear from this figure that BJP could not repeat the mission in Himachal, but the vote percentage of BJP was good. This is considered a good sign for the BJP ahead of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections.
On the other hand, it is no less than a challenge for the Congress. Before the Lok Sabha elections in 2024, the Congress will be under pressure to fulfill its election promises in Himachal.
Understand the interesting figure of vote difference like this…
Congress got 43.9% percent i.e. 18,52,504 votes in these elections, while BJP got 43% i.e. 18,14,530 votes.
If we look at the overall vote, the BJP was behind the Congress by less than 1% i.e. 0.9% votes.
The lowest margin this time in the last 4 elections
- In 2007, BJP had won by 1.61 lakh votes.
- In 2012, Congress had won by 1.47 lakh votes.
- In 2017, BJP had won by 2.68 lakh votes.
- In 2022, Congress won by just 37,974 votes.
Every time there was swing vote like this
In every assembly election of Himachal Pradesh, there has been a swing of 4 to 7% votes. Sometimes it swings in favor of BJP and sometimes in favor of Congress. This time also there was about 6% vote swing. Out of which 2.22% vote swing was in favor of Congress. 3 to 4% votes are in favor of others and 1% votes have been given to AAP.
BJP got 48.8% votes in 2017
In the 2017 elections, the BJP, which won 44 seats, got a total of 48.8% of the votes and the Congress got 41.7%. Then Congress got 21 seats. Similarly, in the 2012 elections too, the difference between the votes polled by the Congress and the BJP was only 4%.
Congress got 42.8% votes in 2012
In 2012, BJP with 39% vote share could win only 26 seats, while Congress with 42.8% vote share had 36 seats. Means only 4% vote made the difference of 10 seats. In the 2007 elections too, there was a difference of only 5% in the vote percentage of BJP and Congress. Then the BJP, which got 43.78% vote share, formed the government and the Congress, which got 38.30% votes, was thrown out of power.
Difference of 1.61 lakh votes in 2007
In the 2007 assembly elections, the BJP got 14.42 lakh votes and the Congress got 12.80 lakh votes. The BJP then got 1.61 lakh more votes than the Congress in all 68 seats and formed an absolute majority government with 41 seats under the leadership of Prem Kumar Dhumal.
BJP was out of power in 2012
Re-elections were held in 2012. In this BJP got out of power. Then Congress got 14.47 lakh votes and BJP got 13.01 lakh votes. Virbhadra Singh became the Chief Minister of the state for the sixth time after winning 36 seats. Even then the difference between victory and defeat remained 1.47 lakh.
Congress lost by 2.68 lakh votes in 2017
Earlier, in 2017, assembly elections were held. Then the BJP got 18.47 lakh votes, while the Congress got 15.78 lakh votes. In this way, for the first time, the BJP made a record of victory by a margin of 2.68 lakh votes. This was the BJP’s biggest victory in the last 5 elections. Jairam Thakur became the Chief Minister after winning 44 seats.