Why are opinion polls so brazen?: 90% of their claims are false, yet there is so much ruckus; Let’s open the polls to the opinion polls

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Republic India and ABP-C voters are conducting opinion polls every month. Same story every time, BJP is winning UP. It is being promoted so much on Facebook, WhatsApp and Twitter, as if they know the results of March 10.

Not much time has passed yet. Bengal had elections in April last year. BJP was desperate to wave saffron. A total of 10 Chief Ministers and more than 12 Union Ministers were scouring the streets of the state. Opinion polls were melted by their hard work. It was told that out of 292 seats, BJP is winning 183 seats. When the result came, BJP could get only 77 seats.

This is not the only story of opinion polls being proven fake. The previous opinion polls in Bengal, Puducherry, Bihar and UP itself turned out to be quite the opposite. Let’s open the pole-bar of the opinion poll…

Opinion polls were beaten up in Bengal

The survey company People’s Pulse gave BJP 183 seats in Bengal. CNX was giving 135 and C voter 112 seats. Mahaopinion polls were also saying that 143 seats were confirmed. Mahaopinion Poll is the average of all the polls. When the result came, my heart was shocked. Got only 77 seats. Mamta Banerjee and Company won 213 seats.

This photo is from India TV.  The news channel had shown a program on this subject for an hour.

This photo is from India TV. The news channel had shown a program on this subject for an hour.

In Bihar it became ‘Balandre’

In Bihar, after 2015, even in 2020, people did the same opinion poll. Told in 2015 that BJP is gaining an edge over Lalu-Nitish’s party. When the result came, 178 seats came in the account of RJD-JDU. BJP got only 58.

In 2020, there was a blunder. Aaj Tak’s Access My India reported that the RJD-Congress alliance is winning 161 seats. Celebrations started, when the result came, the alliance surrendered at 110. Opinion polls again became destitute in Bihar.

These figures were given by opinion polls just before the Bihar elections.

These figures were given by opinion polls just before the Bihar elections.

Puducherry people first opinion poll then defeated Congress

India Today-Axis My India gave 24 seats to Congress in Puducherry. Gave 6-10 seats to BJP. Similarly C voter showed Congress 23 and BJP 6-10. When the results came, the opinion polls were badly beaten along with the Congress. BJP got 16 seats and Congress got only 8 seats.

Puducherry's final result after counting of votes.  This photo was taken from Aaj Tak website.

Puducherry’s final result after counting of votes. This photo was taken from Aaj Tak website.

Opinion polls fail not three times

Apart from Bihar, Puducherry, Bengal, it also failed in Chhattisgarh, Haryana, Madhya Pradesh. Told a strong contest of Congress-BJP in Chhattisgarh. As a result, Congress got 68 seats out of 90. Told in Haryana that the BJP’s mighty government, if the result came, the alliance had to save the chair. BJP showed majority in Madhya Pradesh with 128 seats. When the result came, Congress got majority.

UP’s opinion polls were crippled in 2017

India Today had said, BJP was getting 170-183 seats, ABP 164-176, NewsX poll got 185 seats in UP. When the result came, the ground shook. BJP alliance reached 325. They were telling the BSP the claimant of 90 seats, it was reduced to 19. The SP was getting 170 but when the results came, it stood at 47. Opinion got paralyzed here too.

Information shared on Wikipedia by various opinion poll companies.

Information shared on Wikipedia by various opinion poll companies.

Will Hobe or Kheda be played in UP?

Now Republic and ABP-C Voter did the survey. Accordingly, BJP government is being formed in UP. According to DB LIVE, Samajwadi Party seems to be winning. In such a situation, supporters of both the parties are hitting posts for each other on social media with eye-opening captions.

Figures currently being shown by different opinion polls.

Figures currently being shown by different opinion polls.

How are opinion polls surveyed?

No, what is absolutely perfect here that survey is perfect, companies complete this survey by asking about 50 thousand people. It is not even one percent of the total population of UP. Therefore, it cannot be considered as a survey of all. Yes, the one fellow who is asked tells the maths of his family, neighborhood and locality. In this case, rough figures are available.

What is the harm of this which Akhilesh bhaiya is furious?

There is also a unique alliance between opinion poll companies and parties. That’s why Akhilesh Yadav is eating sour. He alleges, “The companies are working for the BJP. Creating an atmosphere in their favor. He has already complained about this to the Election Commission.

So what should be done?

After knowing all the truth, this is what it seems, “Opinion Poll is like that thug astrology who, if he gets proper dakshina, will also tell the kinnar the sum of getting a son.”

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